Probability

#### Core Ideas

• Demonstrate understanding and use of probability in problem situations.
• Determine theoretical and experimental probabilities and use these to make predictions about events.
• Understand that the measure of the likelihood of an event can be represented by a number from 0 to 1.
• Represent probabilities as ratios, proportions, decimals, or percents.
• Represent the sample space for a given event in an organized way (e.g. table, diagram, organized list, and tree diagram).

Black & White

#### Core Ideas

• Apply and deepen their understanding of theoretical and empirical probability.
• Represent the sample space for simple and compound events in an organized way (table, diagram, organized list, and tree diagram) and express the theoretical probability of each outcome.
• Use data to estimate the probability of future events (e.g., batting averages or number of accidents per mile driven).
• Know the relationship between the probability of an event and its complement (i.e., if the probability of an event is P, then the probability of the event not occurring is 1 - P).
• Identify data that represent sampling errors and explain why the sample and the display might be biased.